BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Southern Miss

Class: 1A Class Rank: 119 Conference: Conference USA Record: (2-6) Overall: (3-9) Overall Strength =   65.40

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/04/2021 Away    L    51.63   7  31   1A 104 (  5-  7) South Alabama         -13.66    -10.34                      
  2 09/11/2021 Home    W    87.82  37   0   1B 110 (  4-  7) Grambling St           22.53     14.47                      
  3 09/18/2021 Home    L    58.39   9  21   1A 105 (  5-  7) Troy                   -6.90     -5.10                      
  4 09/25/2021 Away    L    60.79  14  63   1A   3 ( 11-  1) Alabama                -4.50 *  -44.50                      
  5 10/02/2021 Away    L *  63.03  19  24   1A 123 (  4-  8) Rice                   -2.26     -2.74                      
  6 10/09/2021 Home    L *  57.34  13  26   1A 103 (  7-  5) UTEP                   -7.95     -5.05                      
  7 10/16/2021 Home    L *  48.98   0  34   1A  59 (  8-  4) Alabama-Birmingham    -16.31    -17.69                      
  8 10/30/2021 Away    L *  57.05  10  35   1A  81 (  6-  6) Middle Tennessee St    -8.24    -16.76                      
  9 11/06/2021 Home    L *  49.19  14  38   1A  92 (  6-  6) North Texas           -16.10     -7.90                      
 10 11/13/2021 Away    L *  80.85  17  27   1A  53 ( 11-  1) Texas-San Antonio      15.56    -25.56                      
 11 11/19/2021 Away    W *  92.28  35  19   1A 102 (  3-  9) Louisiana Tech         26.99    -10.99                      
 12 11/27/2021 Home    W *  72.89  37  17   1A 129 (  1- 11) Florida Int'l           7.60     12.40                      
      Averages              65.02  17.7 27.9

Best game:   92.28 = 16 point win over Louisiana Tech
Worst game:  48.98 = 34 point loss to Alabama-Birmingham
Team stdev:  14.93